Over the
past decade, China's military-aviation industry has been gradually transforming
its defence, science, technology, and innovation capabilities, and narrowing
the once-wide technological gaps with advanced aviation powers. In the fighter
aircraft arena alone, it has been developing, testing, and producing a diverse
portfolio of new designs - updating and modernising its 'legacy fighters,
developing indigenous modern 'fourth-generation' fighters, and preparing to
break into the 'fifth-generation' aircraft market.
The
recent unveiling of China's next generation fighter aircraft prototypes - the
J-20 and J-21 - along with accelerated modernisation of the Chengdu J-10 and
Shenyang J-11 fleets, shows not only the increased sophistication of Chinese
combat aircraft, but more importantly, the ongoing transformation of China's
military-aviation sector.
Rise of Aviation Industry
Corporation of China
(AVIC)
China's
largest aviation industrial group, AVIC, has been on a new path of reforms
since November 2008 when the Chinese government remerged twin aircraft
manufacturers AVIC I and AVIC II after a decade of separate operations. The
principal aim of the re-merger was to move from traditional geographical
divisions and consolidate overlapping areas of responsibility that limited the
industry's capacity for innovation and technological development. The
transformation of AVIC created a new corporate structure and strategy aimed to
enhance China's aerospace competitiveness and improve systemic efficiency.
Particularly targeted is the delivery of equipment for the People's Liberation
Army (PLA) by integrating product lines, instituting best business practices,
resource allocation, and accelerating industrial R&D innovation and
production capabilities - in both civil and military aviation sectors.
AVIC's
Defence structure now includes five core defence-aerospace prime contractors:
Chengdu Aircraft Industry Corporation (J-10; J-20; FC-1 fighters), Shenyang
Aircraft Corporation (J-8; J-11; J-15 fighters), Hongdu Aviation Industry Group
(K-8; L-15 trainers), Xi'an Aircraft Company (H-6; JH-7 bombers), and
Changhe/Hafei Aviation (Z-8; Z-9; Z-11 helicopters). These are supported by
Tier 1 suppliers and system-integrators such as Shenyang Liming Aero-Engine
(fighter engine WS-10), Xian Aero Engine (fighter engine WS-9 and supplier of
WS-10), AVIC Avionics (flight control, power systems). The defence supply-chain
is further supported by Tier-2 and Tier-3 suppliers of systems and components
such as Chengfa Science and Technology (aero engine components and control
systems), AVIC Aero-Engine Controls (aero engine control systems), Hubei
Aviation Precision Machinery (electro-mechanical parts and systems), and Jonhon
Optronics (connectors).
According
to Lin Zuoming, the group's President, during 2008 - 2011, AVIC Group recorded
a 20% compound annual growth rate in revenues. In 2011, AVIC's revenue
increased 20% to CNY250 billion (USD39.6 billion) and net earnings increased more
than 15% to CNY12 billion (USD1.89 billion). AVIC's figures compare favourably
with major Western primes, such as BAE Systems, which in 2010 posted annual
sales of GBP22.39 billion (USD34.7billion).
PLAAF's operational requirements
AVIC's
financial performance reflects China's continued robust defence spending
growth, with more resources allocated for procurement of new equipment. With
the People's Liberation Army's Air Force (PLAAF) widening operational
requirements, there is a growing need to replace China's aging third-generation
fighter jets (J-7 and J-8) and modernise supporting logistical infrastructure
and equipment. This is projected to drive defence spending higher, leading to
the expansion of China's military-aviation sector - from helicopter, trainer
and transporter fleets to fourth and fifth-generation fighter jets.
Notwithstanding
China's ongoing reliance on Russian assistance in the development of core
systems such as engines and avionics, China's indigenous aerospace
manufacturing base and its capabilities are now increasingly able to supply the
PLAAF with a portfolio of aircraft platforms, technologies, and systems
required for its modernisation. This is evident from the proportion of
fourth-generation aircraft in service with the PLAAF, which has risen from 23%
in 2005 to 33% in 2010, and is expected to reach about 50% by 2015.
Toward further innovation
Indeed,
as early as the late 1990s, the bulk of the PLAAF was based almost exclusively
on the obsolete 1950's-era Soviet design combat aircraft based on MiG-19 and
MiG-21s. In 1999, China's fourth-generation fighters included fewer than 100
operational Su-27 armed with beyond-visual range air-to-air missiles. The PLAAF
had no inventory of precision-guided munitions (PGMs) and its pilots received
only limited training, constrained by time and weather conditions. By 2010,
however, the PLAAF retired most of its obsolete aircraft, acquired over 300
fourth-generation fighters (J-10, J-11, Su-30 variants), armed with advanced
air-to-air missiles and PGMs (i.e. Kh-31/AS-17 Krypton), and capable of flying
in all-weather conditions. PLAAF pilots are now supported by China's first
domestically-produced airborne warning and control system (AWACS) aircraft and
new generation of air defence systems (HQ-9).
Depending
on the ability of China's aerospace primes to develop and integrate innovative
systems and technologies, China's fifth-generation combat aircraft J-20 may
become operational by 2020. In the process, the pace, qualitative orientation,
and continuous resource allocation toward innovation in China's defence
aviation industry may in the long run elevate its position closer toward global
defence aviation primes.
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