Exploiting a loophole in Western sanctions, Iran is importing a high
grade of refined alumina ore from several European countries including
Germany and France that Tehran could be using to make armor parts and
missile components.
Western measures imposed on Iran over its
disputed nuclear program have hit many sectors of its economy including
steel and other metals, where it is heavily dependent on imports. Tehran
says its atomic work is peaceful.
The refined ore has been excluded from European Union sanctions, but
tightened US sanctions that came into effect on July 1 seek to close the
loophole. According to a US Treasury briefing, the latest measures will
cover "raw or semi-finished metals" that include aluminum.
"After
July 1, new sanctions will blacklist metals trade with Iran including
aluminum, coal, steel, gold, silver and platinum amongst others, and
should include alumina," said Mark Dubowitz, who has advised President
Barack Obama's administration and US lawmakers on sanctions.
Alumina
is a refined version of the raw ore bauxite. It is typically used to
make aluminum, but in its high purity or 'chemical grade' form, it has
non-metal applications that have sensitive military uses.
Export
data from independent firm Global Trade Information Services showed that
between January 2012 and March 2013, around 4,000 tons of alumina had
been sold to Iran mostly from Germany and France, but also from
Slovenia, Italy, Hungary and Belgium.
Experts and traders say the high price paid of $700-$1,000 a ton and
relatively low amounts involved indicated the exports were most likely
high purity chemical grade alumina.
Mark Gorwitz, previously with
the US Department of Defense and now a consultant specializing in
nuclear and missile-related technologies, says Iran is able to
manufacture weapons grade ceramic composites using chemical alumina.
"Iran
definitely has the ability to manufacture missile parts locally.
They've done quite a bit of work on ceramic composites made with
alumina, and used for manufacturing armor parts and missile components
like nozzles," he said.
Gorwitz cited an academic paper seen by
Reuters on the scientific properties of alumina armor, published in 2011
by researchers at Malek Ashtar University, an entity listed by the EU
in 2008 as linked to Iran's nuclear activities.
Chemical alumina, a powder, has to be combined with other materials to make ceramic composites for missiles and armor.
David
Albright, a former UN weapons inspector now president of US-based
think-tank the Institute for Science and International Security, said
Iran had been studying the use of chemical alumina for years, citing
three scientific journal papers published by Iranian academics between
2008 and 2009.
"The documents show that there's an interest in mastering the use of
chemical alumina for a broad set of uses which include military," he
said.
Chemical alumina can also be used to make transparent
ceramics used in lasers and night vision devices. But its use in
protective cones for missiles potentially links it to Iran's nuclear
program.
"In general, Iran has been trying for three decades to
develop ballistic missiles," said Michael Elleman with the London-based
International Institute for Strategic Studies.
"Transparent ceramics are a type of sapphire made using chemical alumina. Sapphire can be used as a missile component. Whether the missile carries explosive or nuclear warheads is not the point; most missiles are dual capable."
A
spokesman for Tehran's UN mission in New York said sanctions were
"counterproductive in terms of confidence building between Iran and some
members of the Security Council who level some allegations against my
country.”
"Iran has never violated its international commitment and always remains committed to its obligations," he said.
Data
from the International Aluminum Institute showed Europe produced 2.38
million tons of chemical grade alumina between January 2012 and June
2013, accounting for about a third of the total chemical alumina
produced globally.
"None of the military and defense-related applications use
particularly large tonnages of alumina," a Western specialist familiar
with alumina processes said.
Iranian military commanders regularly
announce what they say
is significant progress in the manufacture of
defense systems and missiles, which are tested during regular drills and
war games. But western analysts say their real capabilities cannot be
independently verified.
A spokesman for EU foreign policy chief
Catherine Ashton said the export of all forms of crude aluminum products
as well as other aluminum products were prohibited under EU sanctions.
"Whereas
the export of aluminum ore - alumina - is not," the spokesman said. "It
is an area that may be looked at in the future."
As of July 1,
however, the tightened US sanctions might hamper the alumina trade with
Iran as companies involved, who also have U.S. interests could be
targeted by Washington.
"Any European companies found selling alumina, for example, will face
the full weight of US law. Alumina previously has sailed past the radar
under previous US and EU sanctions and should not be overlooked again
as an important target of pressure," Dubowitz said.
Earlier this
year, Switzerland-based commodities giant Glencore Xstrata said it had
done nothing wrong when they engaged in alumina-for-aluminum swap deals
with Iran. Another Swiss group Trafigura was involved in similar deals.
One
industry source said at present alumina made in Europe was reaching
Iran via middlemen operating from the Middle East Gulf who transport the
cargoes on barges from the United Arab Emirates. Alumina can be shipped
in general cargo vessels.
"There's a number of small-time traders
in Dubai dealing with alumina from Europe. They buy it from Europe and
ship it to (Iran's major cargo port) Bandar Abbas," said a Europe-based
alumina player familiar with the trade.
"It's a lucrative market ... these small guys have not got that much reputation to lose even if they get caught."
The
surprise victory of moderate cleric Hassan Rouhani in Iran's
presidential election last month has raised hopes for an easing of
tension in the decade-old nuclear dispute, although he is not expected
to opt for dramatic change, given his ties with the religious
leadership.
"It seems unlikely that the presidential elections
will have a significant effect on Iran's military program - at least in
the short term," said Hannah Poppy at consultancy Risk Advisory.
"Military
spending is a long-term budgetary issue, and the President's control
over the military is limited. Also, Iran has invested a considerable
amount to support its regional allies Syria and Hezbollah, so a major
reduction in military aid or rhetorical support would be
counter-intuitive."
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