A Chinese Air
Force general recently gave a candid interview in which he admitted that
China was running into problems mastering high tech
weapons development and manufacturing. The latter was a particular
problem, in part because the older Chinese leaders who started the
process of building high tech
weapons did not have the technical background to appreciate all the
problems that would be encountered. The younger officers are more often
college graduates and understood that China would have a more difficult
time going from a low-tech nation fifty years ago to one that can
complete with the world leaders. It’s not just more skills that are
needed, but a culture that encourages innovation. The Chinese general
noted that there is a reluctance in China to be sufficiently innovative
and that this will have to be changed.
These problems are widely recognized inside the government,
which explains why, earlier this year it was announced that the
government was investing $16 billion in an effort to fix some of the
problems it has encountered manufacturing high-performance (as in world
class) jet engines. Although China has been working on this for over
three decades, continued problems with materials durability, efficient
design, and quality control have prevented Chinese engines from being
competitive with Western models.
One good example is the Chinese WS10A engine. It has been in
development for 25 years and attempts to replace Russian AL31F engines
used in the J-10/11/15/16 jet fighters. WS10A development efforts have
not worked out well. Many Chinese engineers
consider the WS10A design a superior engine to the AL31F, even though
the WS10A copied a lot of the Russian technology. As delivered from
Russia, the AL31 is good for 900 hours of operation. Chinese engineers
figured out how to tweak the design of the engine so that it lasted for
1,500 hours but they never got those tweaks to work as predicted because
their Chinese suppliers could not produce key components to the needed
level of quality and durability. For over a decade China believed it
would be free from dependence on Russia for military jet engines within
the next five years. That has not happened and is a major reason for
this new $16 billion investment. The problem was that Russia and the
nations that set the world standard in military high-tech had developed a
high-tech infrastructure. While Chinese designers could come up with
superior (on paper) designs, the technical skills required to
manufacture components and fabricate the actual device were not
sufficiently developed to make the Chinese designs work as intended.
For over twenty years China has imported two Russian engines
similar to the WS10A. The two main ones are the $3.5 million AL31 for
the Su-27/30 type aircraft and the $2.5 million RD93 (a version of the
MiG-29's RD33) for the JF-17 (an F-16 type aircraft developed in
cooperation with Pakistan). During all this, Chinese engineers worked to
master the manufacturing techniques needed to make a Chinese copy of
the Russian AL31F engine. That was part of a program that has also
developed the WS13, to replace the RD93 as well. While the Chinese have
been able to build engines that are competitive on paper, and during
ground tests, they are still having problems with reliability and
durability when they install the WS10A in aircraft. China now
acknowledges that more effort and money had to go into developing people
with the wide range of skills required to make it all work.
The recent Chinese purchase of Russian Su-35 jet fighters, and
their advanced Al041F1 (or 117S) engines was done, in part, to get a
close look at the high-end tech the Russians have mastered (with some
difficulty) to make this engine work. China has long copied foreign
technology, not always successfully. In the last decade, China has
poured a lot of money into developing a jet engine manufacturing
capability. The Chinese encountered many of the same problems the
Russians did when developing their own engine design and component
construction skills.
China does have several advantages. First, they knew of the
mistakes the Russians had made, and so were able to avoid many of them.
Then there was the fact that China had better access to Western
manufacturing technology (both legally and illegally). Finally, China
was, unlike the Soviets, able to develop their engine manufacturing
capabilities in a market economy. This was much more efficient than the
command economy that the Soviets were saddled with for seven decades.
Despite all this, China continued to encounter problems with consistent
quality in manufacturing key components. China is determined to master
Russian engine building techniques, and then move on to beating the
Western firms who have long been the masters of this technology.
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