A major
reason for the renewed vigor of Islamic terror organizations in the last year
is the success of the Arab Spring revolution. Egyptian, Libyan, Syrian, and
Tunisian jails were emptied of political prisoners after the rebels replaced
the dictators. The freed prisoners included thousands of Islamic radicals, many
of them Islamic terrorists who have gone back to the business of being bad.
Most of the imprisoned Islamic terrorists were those who had experience,
especially management skills. In the last decade the U.S. and Israel have put
thousands of skilled Islamic terrorists out of action (dead or imprisoned).
Arab dictatorships were particularly effective at finding and killing to
imprisoning Islamic radicals and have been doing this vigorously since the
1990s. All this led to a steady decline in the number of Islamic terrorist
attacks over the last decade. But with so many jailed Islamic terrorists freed,
the mayhem is on the increase again.
Already,
police in Arab countries are seeking to arrest some of those freed radicals for
crimes committed since they got out, or for general bad behavior over a long
period of time. Despite that experience, countries still undergoing Arab Spring
rebellions (like Syria) will be under pressure to let Islamic radicals out of
prison once the dictatorship is overthrown. In part this is because many
Islamic radical groups are taking part in the fighting and expect to get
something more than a “thank you” for their efforts. Indeed, Syrian rebels are
concerned about the Islamic radicals attempting to install a religious
dictatorship after the current secular Assad dictatorship is overthrown.
Whatever the case, Islamic radicals expect a new government to let imprisoned
Islamic terrorists to go free. Even if the new government wants to keep Islamic
terrorists and criminals imprisoned, the chaos that accompanies a revolution
often leads to many jails breaks. Moreover, many of the non-terrorist criminals
and political prisoners are recruited into Islamic radical groups while in
prison. Western and Arab intelligence agencies are identifying more and more of
these former prisoners in terrorist hot sports like Pakistan, Yemen, Mali, and
Libya, including those who were not originally jailed for Islamic terrorism.
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